Friday, August 2, 2013

Future can be predicted if given enough data

By Serge Brontein
8-2-2013

FATE AS A CONCEPT IN UNIVERSE

CAN FUTURE CAN BE PREDICTED?
and
IS EVERYTHING PREDETERMINED?

Currently, the accuracy with which future can be predicted is based on information that is gathered and analyzed. The more information we have, the more accurate our prediction will be.

Let's look at an example:

A person is throwing a ball at a target. Your job is to predict how accurate this person will be. If you know NOTHING about this person, then you would be less accurate than someone who has seen them throw balls at targets for a week and recorded every single pitch, velocity, where it landed, etc. Clearly, having more information let's you predict better.

But, can you predict with 100% accuracy where this next pitch will end up? Practically, you can't. But let's look at it theoretically. Let's say you precisely know the wind speed, ball weight, all of the signals in their neurosystem, chemical composition of muscle fibers, state of every thought in their brain, gravitational pull of moon, etc etc, if you know EVERY single piece of information that would influence this throw, and process it into a computer, you could predict with 100% accuracy where the next ball will land.

Therefore, we can infer, that it IS THEORETICALLY POSSIBLE TO PREDICT THE FUTURE if all relative data that can influence the outcome is collected and analyzed.

Example 2: Stocks

Can you predict exactly where a stock price would be? Practically, no. But theoretically? If you got into the mind of every single person who purchased a particular stock, new their thoughts, bio metrics, mood, thoughts, what they did today/yesterday, who they talked to, what they heard, put it all into one giant computer and processed it, you could predict EXACTLY where that stock price would be.

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From all this, I can infer something else - if we, theoretically, can accurately predict the future, does that mean that EVERYTHING IN THE UNIVERSE IS PREDETERMINED? In my opinion, yes.

Why do I think that? The future is affected by the past. One action leads to another action. The concept of things being predetermined mean that there is only one possible variant on how things will be in future, and that this is somehow set and can't be changed. And this is entirely true. The universe gives an illusion of randomization, where as in reality, there is a set program in place that can be described as a sequence - this happens, then this makes this happen, and so on. We can observe this in science on a molecular and atomic level, and in computers - where, in simple terms, two always equals two, and a program unfolds exactly as its written, and never otherwise (at least theoretically).





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